This is a Süper Lig meeting with league points at stake, and CheckLive's model makes Erzurumspor FK the favourites for this one. The numbers give them a 69% win probability, with a strong signal behind that reading. Galatasaray are by no means out of it, though, and a draw remains a realistic outcome.
Erzurumspor have lost only once in their last five, beating Al-Arabi Kuwait 3-1 in a friendly and drawing with Çaykur Rizespor, Çorum FK and Bandırmaspor, while losing 0-3 to Amed Sportif Faaliyetler. Galatasaray are winless in five, drawing 2-2 with Çorum FK and 3-3 with Stade Rennais, and losing to Villarreal, Venezia and Monza.
There is no head-to-head record between the two clubs, so previous meetings cannot help here. The key thing to watch is whether Galatasaray can end that winless run against an Erzurumspor side who have been hard to beat, meaning the draw has to be respected.
