This is a Treta Liga - YZ meeting between FC Septemvri Simitli and PFC CSKA III Sofia, with league points on the line. CheckLive favour the home side, giving Septemvri Simitli a 59% win probability, and the signal is medium. That is a meaningful lean, but not a strong one, so this is far from a foregone conclusion.
Septemvri Simitli come in with three wins and two draws from their last five: beating FC Balkan 1929 Botevgrad 2-1, OFC Kostinbrod 2012 Kostinbrod 2-0 and FC Kyustendil 2-0, with draws against FC National Sofia and FK Strumska Slava Radomir. CSKA III Sofia have drawn four of their last five, including 0-0 with FK Strumska Slava Radomir, 1-1 with FC Oborishte Panagyurishte and 2-2 with OFC Gigant Saedinenie, plus a 0-1 loss to PFC Slavia 1913 II Sofia and a 1-0 win over OFC Kostinbrod 2012 Kostinbrod.
The head-to-head record is firmly on the home side's side: five meetings, two wins and three draws, no defeats. The most recent meeting in March 2026 ended 2-0 to Septemvri Simitli. Given how often CSKA III have drawn lately, and Septemvri Simitli's unbeaten run in this fixture, a draw is very much a live possibility.
