This is the third qualifying round of the Europa Conference League, with a place in the next round on the line. CheckLive's numbers put FK Partizan firmly in the driving seat: the home side are favoured with a 73% win probability, and the signal is strong. That still leaves Tobol with a real chance to make it a close tie.
Partizan's last five show the form is there, even if it is not perfect: a defeat to IMT Beograd, wins over Una Strassen and Mačva Šabac, and a draw with Zemun. Tobol have been tougher to beat, losing only to Ordabasy, while drawing with Panevėžys and Qyzyljar and beating Atyrau.
There is no previous meeting between these two to analyse, so this tie starts fresh. The key thing to watch is whether Partizan can turn their clear advantage into a comfortable evening, or whether Tobol's knack for drawing games keeps the tie alive.
