This is a Liga I meeting between FCSB and FC Botoșani, with CheckLive's model firmly favouring the home side at an 80% win probability on a high-strength signal. That is a strong read, though not a lock — the draw remains a genuine possibility. Botoșani arrive with enough solidity to make this more than a formality.
FCSB's recent form is patchy: they drew 0-0 with Sepsi OSK and 2-2 with FCV Farul Constanța, beat FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 2-0, but lost 1-4 and 2-3 to FK Auda in the Europa Conference League. Botoșani have been hard to beat, drawing 0-0 with FC Corvinul Hunedoara, 1-1 with Rapid București and 2-2 with Voluntari, either side of a 1-2 defeat at Universitatea Cluj and a 2-2 friendly draw with Ludogorets.
The head-to-head leans clearly FCSB's way: five wins in eight meetings, three for Botoșani, and no draws. The most recent clash finished 4-3 to FCSB, which suggests goals tend to follow these two. Given Botoșani's pattern of drawing four of their last five, a share of the points would not be a surprise.
