Who will win between Jensen and Icardo and Sanchez and Ustero?

Sanchez and Ustero should win. They have taken three of the four meetings against Jensen and Icardo, and CheckLive's ratings back them for this Madrid P1 2026 clash. No one is untouchable, but the head-to-head leader is the right call.

Are Sanchez and Ustero the clear favourites?

Yes, narrowly. Sanchez and Ustero own the 3-1 head-to-head advantage and the stronger CheckLive rating. Jensen and Icardo are close enough to keep it competitive, so this is a lean rather than a blowout.

Will the match go over in total games?

Expect a long match. Jensen and Icardo are close enough in CheckLive's ratings to push this deep, so total games over is the natural lean even though Sanchez and Ustero remain the pick.

Madrid P1 2026 · Quarterfinal · Premier Padel

Finished

4 September

123

Jensen

Alcorisa

713

Fallada

Prieto

6⁶66

Madrid P1 2026 · Quarterfinal · Premier Padel

Ariana Sanchez Fallada

Andrea Ustero Prieto

Winners

Finished

6⁶662

7131

S1S2S3SETS

Claudia Jensen

Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

MOMENTUM · FULL MATCH

Breaks3:6

SET 17:6

SET 21:6

SET 33:6

C/TA/Abreak

Winners

Fallada / Prieto

7-6, 1-6, 3-6

MATCH FLOW · MOMENTUM

Breaks3:6

The whole match game by game. An orange cell is a break.

SET 17:6

SET 21:6

SET 33:6

C/TA/Abreak

POINT-BY-POINT

3-6serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

BREAK

0:015:030:1540:3040:40A:4040:40

3-5serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:150:300:4015:4030:4040:40A:4040:40A:4040:40

3-4serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:015:030:030:1540:15

2-4serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

BREAK

0:015:030:040:0

1-4serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

BREAK

0:00:150:300:40

1-3serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:1515:1530:1540:1540:3040:4040:A

1-2serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:015:030:040:0

0-2serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:015:015:1515:3015:40

0-1serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

BREAK

0:00:150:3015:40

Set 1

7:6

7-6serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

BREAK

0:01:11:22:23:23:34:34:44:55:55:66:67:6

6-6serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:150:300:40

6-5serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:00:1515:1515:3030:3030:4040:40A:40

5-5serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

BREAK

0:015:030:040:0

4-5serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:015:030:030:1530:3040:30

3-5serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:150:3015:3015:4030:40

3-4serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:015:015:1515:3030:3040:3040:4040:A40:40A:40

2-4serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:150:300:4015:40

2-3serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

BREAK

0:015:015:1515:3030:3030:40

2-2serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:1515:1530:1530:3040:3040:40A:4040:40A:4040:4040:A

2-1serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:015:1530:1540:15

1-1serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:015:030:1530:3040:3040:4040:A

1-0serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:00:1515:1515:3030:3040:30

Set 2

1:6

1-6serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:150:3015:3015:40

1-5serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:015:030:030:1530:3030:4040:40A:4040:4040:A40:40

0-5serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:150:300:40

0-4serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

BREAK

0:015:030:1530:3030:40

0-3serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:015:015:1515:3015:40

0-2serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

BREAK

0:00:1515:1515:3015:4030:40

0-1serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:150:300:40

Set 3

3:6

3-6serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

BREAK

0:015:030:1540:3040:40A:4040:40

3-5serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:150:300:4015:4030:4040:40A:4040:40A:4040:40

3-4serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:015:030:030:1540:15

2-4serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

BREAK

0:015:030:040:0

1-4serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

BREAK

0:00:150:300:40

1-3serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:00:1515:1530:1540:1540:3040:4040:A

1-2serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

0:015:030:040:0

0-2serve Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto

0:015:015:1515:3015:40

0-1serve Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa

BREAK

0:00:150:3015:40

Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto lead the head-to-head 3–1 (5 meetings total). Last meeting — Madrid P1 2026, September 4. In other pairs: 4–6.

Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa 1:2 Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto — Match Result

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Claudia Jensen / Tamara Icardo Alcorisa 1:2 Ariana Sanchez Fallada / Andrea Ustero Prieto — Match Result