NEC Nijmegen host Excelsior in an Eredivisie fixture. CheckLive's model does not indicate a favourite for this one, so the win-probability is not on the table; this is being treated as a tight match, with the draw a genuine possible outcome.
NEC's last five matches include a 2-1 draw with PEC Zwolle, 0-3 and 1-3 defeats against Bodø/Glimt, plus wins over Willem II (4-1) and Olympiacos (2-1). Excelsior drew 0-0 with Sparta Rotterdam, lost 1-2 to PSV, beat SC Cambuur 4-0, and added friendly wins over De Graafschap and Heracles Almelo.
The two sides have met six times, with NEC winning four, one draw and one Excelsior win. The most recent Eredivisie meeting finished 0-2 to NEC. The key thing to watch is whether Excelsior can attack with the confidence shown against Cambuur while shoring things up against a NEC team that has had the better of this fixture historically.
