Defensa y Justicia welcome Deportivo Riestra in Superliga action, and CheckLive favours the home side with a 68% win probability on a high-signal reading. That is a clear lean, but recent results mean this is far from a foregone conclusion — a draw is very much on the table.
Defensa y Justicia come into this on a rough run: a 1-1 draw with Aldosivi followed by four straight defeats — 1-4 to Racing Club (Copa Argentina), 1-2 away to Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, 0-4 against Boca Juniors, and 1-3 at Independiente. Deportivo Riestra have had mixed fortunes; they beat San Lorenzo 6-5 in a wild Copa Argentina match, drew 1-1 with Palestino and 0-0 with Lanús, but lost 1-4 to Montevideo City Torque and 0-3 to Grêmio in the Sudamericana.
Head-to-head, the numbers favour Defensa y Justicia: five previous meetings have brought two wins and three draws, with no defeats. The last encounter, back in January, went 1-0 to Defensa y Justicia away. The key question is whether the home side can shake off their poor form against an opponent they have historically handled well.
