04.10.2026 06:10
GOAL!2 - 1FT
| Game | Set 1 | Set 2 | Set 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 3 | |
| 35 m 37 s | 40 m 43 s | 44 m 10 s |
de Minaur A. 2:1 Rublev A. — Match Result
Questions & Answers
Who won the de Minaur A. vs Rublev A. match?
de Minaur A. won 2-1 in sets.
What was the set score of de Minaur A. vs Rublev A.?
de Minaur A. 1:6, 6:2, 6:3 Rublev A.
Who served more aces in de Minaur A. vs Rublev A.?
Rublev A. served more aces — 7.
- 6300150300400
- 53001503004004015BreakBreak
- 4300150300150300400
- 3300015030153030303040
- 3200150300400
- 2200015030040
- 21000151515153015403040BreakBreak
- 2000015030153030304030BreakBreak
- 104040A40000150301530154030404040A40404040A4040A40
- 620015030040040154030BreakBreak
- 5200015151515303030304030303040404040A4040A404040A40
- 420001503015301540
- 41001503004004015
- 31003015001501515153030304030BreakBreak
- 2100015151530154015
- 110001503004015403040A404040A404040A40404040A
- 100015030015030040040154030
- 16000150300150300401540
- 15003040001503003015300301530303040BreakBreak
- 14000150001503001503015301540304015403040
- 130015015151530303030404040A40
- 030015015151501515301530303040404030404040A404040A4040A
- 020015015151530151515301540304040403040404040ABreakBreak
- 010001515151530154015301540
Statistics
1
Aces
7
3
Break points converted
3
75%
Break points saved
66%
1
Double faults
2
68%
First serve
63%
66%
First serve points
70%
30%
First serve return points
34%
4
Max games in a row
3
6
Max points in a row
7
29
Receiver points won
29
11
Return games played
10
96%
Second serve
93%
50%
Second serve points
44%
55%
Second serve return points
50%
10
Service games played
11
8
Service games won
8
45
Service points won
44
0
Tiebreaks
0
Before the match · Pre-match form
Previous meetings before this match started
Last matches: de Minaur A.
Matches shown: 5
Wins5Losses0
Last matches: Rublev A.
Matches shown: 5
Wins4Losses1
CheckLive pre-match prediction
Rublev has won four of the five career meetings, so the history argues against de Minaur — but the current read says otherwise. A 58% lean to the Australian is narrow rather than commanding, built on consistency rather than dominance. Expect a tight quarterfinal.
Prepared before the match. Full analysis in Predictions.
Match betting activity
$351.2K
Betting volume1.7K
bets- Rublev A. to winLost · 46.2% of bets$221.7K806 bets
- de Minaur A. to winWon · 45.9% of bets$125.4K801 bets
- Over 22.5 gamesWon · 1.9% of bets$1.9K33 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
Pre-match prediction · not updated during play. Created: 2026-10-03T09:32:49.600Z
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — de Minaur A.
Rublev has won four of the five career meetings, so the history argues against de Minaur — but the current read says otherwise. A 58% lean to the Australian is narrow rather than commanding, built on consistency rather than dominance. Expect a tight quarterfinal.
Over 23.51.83
Medium confidence58%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
97.5
95
CheckSkill
74.79
72.04
CheckMental
81
76
CheckLive total84 vs 80.9+3.1
More match signals
de Minaur A. to win55%1.80
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · Awaiting result
CHECKLIVE · PendingOver 23.51.83
Betting pick · LostRublev A. to win48% of bets · $29.9K
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win de Minaur vs Rublev in Beijing?
De Minaur is the slight favorite by CheckLive's read, though the margin is thin. Rublev's four wins in five meetings make this a genuinely close quarterfinal rather than a comfortable call.
Is de Minaur really the favorite despite the head-to-head?
Yes, narrowly. De Minaur holds the better current profile across form and composure, which outweighs the 4-1 head-to-head deficit — but only just, hence a 58% lean rather than confidence.
Will this match go the distance in games?
Likely long. The two are closely matched on current evidence, and four of their five previous meetings were decided in deciding sets, pointing toward a high game count.
H2H
Odds
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.80 | 2.00 |