CSKA Sofia came from behind to beat Derry City 2-1 in their UEFA Europa League qualifier. Derry City took the lead early in the second half, but the visitors struck twice to turn the tie around.
On aggregate CSKA Sofia advances · 3:5
Derry City 1:2 CSKA Sofia — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half0 - 0
Second half1 - 2
- 46(Foul)
- 75
- 79(Foul)
- 90 + 4(Foul)
- 90 + 13(Foul)
- 90 + 16
- 90 + 18
Questions & Answers
Who will win, Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
CheckLive's model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite, with a 67% win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Derry City 2:4 CSKA Sofia.
When is Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?
Kick-off Thursday 16 July at 18:30 UK time, in the UEFA Europa League, Qualification Round 1.
Where people bet the most today
$2.5M
Betting volume25.4K
bets- SK Sturm Graz — Olympique de MarseilleLIVE · Olympique de Marseille to win · 35 bets→$350.7K1,344 bets
- Lech Poznań — SunderlandLIVE · Sunderland to win · 54 bets→$333K2,056 bets
- Juventus — Stade RennaisLIVE · Juventus to win · 105 bets→$239.8K2,519 bets
- Bournemouth — MilanBournemouth to win · 257 bets→$215.4K1,423 bets
- FK Jablonec — Brighton & Hove AlbionLIVE · Brighton & Hove Albion to win · 27 bets→$204.7K2,163 bets
- Trabzonspor — Heart of MidlothianLIVE · Trabzonspor to win · 22 bets→$142K1,487 bets
- OFI Crete — Bayer 04 LeverkusenLIVE · Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win · 17 bets→$116.9K1,303 bets
- FC Ararat-Armenia — AZ AlkmaarLIVE · Under 2.5 goals · 10 bets→$85.6K968 bets
- FK Crvena zvezda — FC KøbenhavnLIVE · FC København to win · 11 bets→$74.8K666 bets
- TSG Hoffenheim — Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais to win · 179 bets→$68.5K756 bets
Head to Head meetings
Derry City – CSKA Sofia
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 2
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 2  |
Scored goals | 3 | 5 |
Average per game | 1.5 | 2.5 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 1-2 |
Derry City
- 5Matches
- 6Goals
- 1.2Goal per game
- 3Wins
- 1Draws
- 1Losses
CSKA Sofia
- 5Matches
- 9Goals
- 1.8Goal per game
- 3Wins
- 1Draws
- 1Losses
Best statistical picks
Derry City – CSKA Sofia
Recent form favours CSKA Sofia to win
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 7 matches
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchOdds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.85 |
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia arrive in Ireland on a three-match winning run and having beaten Derry City 3-2 in the only previous meeting. Their superior form and mental edge give them a clear advantage. CheckLive's read leans to the visitors, with a 67% win-rate projection — not overwhelming but backed by recent evidence.
Away win — CSKA Sofia1.85
High confidence67%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
35.4
58.2
CheckSkill
53.5
55.2
CheckMental
24.4
73.2
CheckLive total47.2 vs 59.9+12.7Derry City: 41.4 + 5.8 for home advantage = 47.2
More match signals
CSKA Sofia (DNB)85%1.36
Over 3.580%2.63
CSKA Sofia (−1)85%
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite to win?
CSKA Sofia are the clear favourites, given their excellent recent form and a 67% win-rate forecast from CheckLive. Derry City have lost two straight and struggled.
What is Derry City's recent form?
Derry City have won just one of their last five matches, losing three including back-to-back defeats. Their form is poor heading into this tie.
Will both teams score?
Both teams have found the net in four of Derry City's last five and in the only H2H (a 2-3 scoreline). BTTS looks likely again.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.85 |