Corinthians host Cruzeiro in a Brasileiro Série A meeting with league points at stake. CheckLive make Corinthians favourites, with a 57 per cent win probability, but the medium signal is a reminder that this is not a strong call. A draw is a realistic outcome in this one.
Corinthians have won their last league outing, beating Red Bull Bragantino 2-0, and also beat Internacional 2-1 in the Copa do Brasil before losing 0-2 to the same side. They then drew 0-0 with Athletico and 1-1 with Bahia. Cruzeiro won 3-1 against Mirassol and 1-0 against Coritiba, beat Chapecoense 2-0 and drew 0-0 with them in the cup, but lost 0-1 to Botafogo.
The head-to-head is remarkably even: two wins each and four draws from eight meetings, with the latest a 1-1 draw. That history, plus CheckLive's modest favourite signal, suggests a tight contest where the draw has to be respected. The key is whether Corinthians can turn their edge into a decisive win rather than another share of the spoils.
