CheckLive have no favourite marked for this Premier League fixture, so there is no win probability to cite and the data points to a close, even contest. With neither side commanding the numbers, the draw has to be taken seriously.
Smouha arrive in poor shape, with one draw and four defeats in their last five league games — losing to Al Ahly FC, Al-Masry, Pyramids FC and Zamalek SC, with a goalless draw against Asyut Petroleum in between. Ceramica Cleopatra have been more mixed, winning against Future FC and Al-Ittihad Alexandria, but losing to Alqana and Zamalek SC and drawing 1-1 with Pyramids FC.
The head-to-head record is tight: eight previous meetings, with three wins for Smouha, four for Ceramica Cleopatra and one draw. Ceramica Cleopatra won the most recent meeting 0-2, which plus Smouha's current slump makes this a genuine test of whether the home side can arrest their slide.
