07:0002.10.2026
Medvedev D. vs Carreño Busta P. Live Score & H2H
CheckLive pre-match prediction
Medvedev arrives in the better shape of the two and the edge belongs to him, though a 62% lean is solid rather than commanding. Carreño Busta grinds rallies and rarely hands over free games, so expect resistance before the result tilts.
Prepared before the match. Full analysis in Predictions.
Questions & Answers
Who is the favourite in Medvedev D. vs Carreño Busta P.?
CheckLive favours Medvedev D.. Model signal strength: 62/100.
When is Medvedev D. vs Carreño Busta P.?
2 October 2026 at 08:00 UK time
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Pre-match form
Previous meetings before this match started
Last matches: Medvedev D.
Matches shown: 5
Wins4Losses1
Last matches: Carreño Busta P.
Matches shown: 5
Wins2Losses2Unconfirmed1
Pre-match betting activity
Updates are delayed. Showing the last received data.
$3.7K
Betting volume44
bets- Medvedev D. to win72.7% of bets→$3.4K32 bets
- Set 1 · Medvedev D. to win4.5% of bets→$1742 bets
- Carreño Busta P. to win13.6% of bets→$956 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
Pre-match prediction · not updated during play. Created: 2026-10-01T09:19:49.726Z
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Medvedev D.
Medvedev arrives in the better shape of the two and the edge belongs to him, though a 62% lean is solid rather than commanding. Carreño Busta grinds rallies and rarely hands over free games, so expect resistance before the result tilts.
Medvedev D. to win1.22
High confidence62%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
96.25
88.95
CheckSkill
72.63
67.75
CheckMental
81
76
CheckLive total82.6 vs 76.8+5.8
More match signals
Over 20.551%1.80
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
All markets · comparison unavailable
CHECKLIVEMedvedev D. to win60% confidence · 1.22
Betting pickMedvedev D. to win73% of bets · $3.4K
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Medvedev vs Carreño Busta?
Medvedev is the favorite in Beijing, with CheckLive's read giving him a 62% lean. The margin is clear rather than overwhelming, and Carreño Busta's durability on long rallies should keep things competitive.
Which player is in better form?
Medvedev holds the form advantage going into this Round of 32 meeting. Our read rates him stronger across recent results, consistency and composure, while Carreño Busta sits a step behind on all three counts.
Will this match go the distance?
A longer contest is plausible. The two are close enough on CheckLive's numbers that the over on total games looks the sounder side, with Carreño Busta capable of stretching sets and forcing tie-break territory.
H2H
Odds
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.22 | 4.33 |