Who will win the Burnley vs Brentford match?

Our analysis favours Brentford to take the three points. Their superior form, head-to-head record, and mental resilience give them a clear edge over Burnley, who are struggling in the relegation zone and have lost the last two home meetings against the Bees.

Who has better form coming into this match?

Brentford have significantly better recent form, with three wins in their last five league games compared to Burnley's single victory. The visitors' 56.7 form rating dwarfs Burnley's 34.8, reflecting the gap in confidence and results.

Will the match see over 2.5 goals?

Given the average of 3.2 goals per game in this fixture and both teams' recent defensive vulnerabilities, over 2.5 goals looks a strong possibility. Burnley have conceded 10 in their last five, while Brentford have scored six.

Burnley

28.02.2026 15:00

GOAL!3 - 4FT

Brentford

Burnley 3:4 Brentford — Match Report

First half1 - 3

Second half2 - 1

Added time0 - 0

Y. Yarmoliuk
(Dissent)

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H2H

Head to Head meetings

Burnley – Brentford

Burnley

Brentford

2
Victories
0
Draws
4
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	2	4
Scored goals	9	14
Average per game	1.5	2.33
The biggest victory	3-1	0-3

Form

Burnley

5Matches
9Goals
1.8Goal per game
1Wins
2Draws
2Losses

date	first team	second team
24.10, 14:00
24.10, 14:00	Lincoln City	Burnley
16.10, 19:00
16.10, 19:00	Burnley	Wolverhampton
13.10, 18:45
13.10, 18:45	Burnley	Charlton Athletic
10.10, 14:00
10.10, 14:00	Watford	Burnley
19.09, 14:00
19.09, 14:00	Burnley	Derby County

Brentford

5Matches
9Goals
1.8Goal per game
2Wins
2Draws
1Losses

date	first team	second team
25.10, 14:00
25.10, 14:00	Hull City	Brentford
17.10, 14:00
17.10, 14:00	Brentford	Liverpool
10.10, 14:00
10.10, 14:00	Aston Villa	Brentford
18.09, 19:00
18.09, 19:00	Brentford	Chelsea
15.09, 19:00
15.09, 19:00	Reading	Brentford