Bulgaria won 2-0 in Luxembourg, and they did it with two first-half goals and plenty of work after the break. Luxembourg had the ball and the shots; Bulgaria had the finishing.
8.1Daniel NaumovBulgaria · Goalkeeper5 saves8.1Daniel NaumovBulgaria · Goalkeeper5 savesLuxembourg vs Bulgaria
First half0 - 2
- 31(Foul)
- 41(Foul)
Second half0 - 0
- 51(Foul)
- 81(Foul)
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · Awaiting result
CHECKLIVE · WonUnder 2.51.40
Public pick · PendingLuxembourg to win217 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 0expected score
Public pick · Lost1 : 121 bets
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORT
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Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
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Head to Head meetings
Luxembourg – Bulgaria
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
- 1
Victories
- 2
Draws
- 2
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  1 | 2  |
Scored goals | 2 | 4 |
Average per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
The biggest victory | 2-1 | 0-2 |
Form
Luxembourg
- 5Matches
- 3Goals
- 0.6Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 0Draws
- 3Losses
Bulgaria
- 5Matches
- 5Goals
- 1Goal per game
- 1Wins
- 2Draws
- 2Losses
Best statistical picks
Luxembourg – Bulgaria
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 8.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
Questions & Answers
Questions & Answers
What was the final score of Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
Luxembourg 0-2 Bulgaria (UEFA Nations League).
Who scored?
Kristiyan Balov (19', assist Emil Tsenov) for Bulgaria; Atanas Iliev (34', assist Georgi Rusev) for Bulgaria.
Was Bulgaria's win deserved?
Yes — Bulgaria were on top for most of the match.
Were there any cards in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
Yellow cards: Georgi Rusev (Bulgaria); Stefan Velkov (Bulgaria); Yoni Stoyanov (Bulgaria); Dirk Carlson (Luxembourg).
Match betting activity
$137.5K
Betting volume1.9K
bets- Double chance: X2$34K133 bets
- Bulgaria to win$22.7K227 bets
- Under 3.5 goals$16.7K97 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Luxembourg
Luxembourg is the favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 45.2 vs 38.5 for Bulgaria. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 26.6 vs 24.4). CheckLive signal strength 59/100.
Under 2.51.40
Medium confidence73%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
36.7
35.5
CheckSkill
47.1
47.1
CheckMental
26.6
24.4
CheckLive total45.2 vs 38.5+6.7
More match signals
Under 1.570%2.25
Both teams to score — No67%1.53
Luxembourg or draw64%1.33
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · Awaiting result
CHECKLIVE · WonUnder 2.51.40
Public pick · PendingLuxembourg to win217 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 0expected score
Public pick · Lost1 : 121 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
In the CheckLive calculation Luxembourg is the favourite: 45.2 vs 38.5. Signal strength 59/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Luxembourg's main edge?
Luxembourg is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 26.6 vs 24.4 for Bulgaria. The overall rating gap is 6.7.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 1-0 (Luxembourg vs Bulgaria, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.30 |