Louisville City FC host Birmingham Legion FC in the USL Championship. CheckLive's numbers favour the home side with a 79% win probability off a high-signal read, though that still leaves room for a draw or an away result. Both teams are looking to build momentum in the league table.
Louisville come in with four wins and a draw from their last five across all competitions, though their most recent league outing was a 1-3 loss to Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Birmingham's recent form is mixed—they beat FC Tulsa 3-1 in the Jägermeister Cup but have drawn three of their last four USL Championship matches, including a 1-1 with Miami FC and a 1-1 with Loudoun United FC.
The head-to-head record shows eight meetings, with Louisville winning four, Birmingham two, and two draws. Their most recent clash, in June, ended 1-1. Given Birmingham's tendency to share the points on the road, this could be a close contest where a draw is a real possibility.
