8.1BernardAtlético Mineiro · Midfielder1 goal · 3 shots · 1 key pass · 0.21 xG8.1BernardAtlético Mineiro · Midfielder1 goal · 3 shots · 1 key pass · 0.21 xGAthletico vs Atlético Mineiro
First half1 - 1
- 27
Second half1 - 1
- 64VAR review (C. Henrique de Jesus Passos)
- 67(Foul)
- 72VAR review (T. Pérez)
- 73(Denial of a goal-scoring opportunity)
- 74(Foul)
- 90 + 3
- 90 + 7
Questions & Answers
Who will win, Athletico vs Atlético Mineiro?
CheckLive's model makes Athletico the favourite. Model signal strength is 58/100; this is not a win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Athletico 2:1 Atlético Mineiro.
When is Athletico vs Atlético Mineiro?
Kick-off Friday 9 October at 00:00 UK time, in the Brasileiro Série A.
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Head to Head meetings
Athletico – Atlético Mineiro
Athletico
Atlético Mineiro
- 6
Victories
- 2
Draws
- 12
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  6 | 12  |
Scored goals | 19 | 29 |
Average per game | 0.95 | 1.45 |
The biggest victory | 2-0 | 0-4 |
Form
Athletico
- 5Matches
- 4Goals
- 0.8Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
Atlético Mineiro
- 5Matches
- 3Goals
- 0.6Goal per game
- 0Wins
- 1Draws
- 4Losses
Standings
Athletico – Atlético Mineiro
Best statistical picks
Athletico – Atlético Mineiro
X2 hasn't lost in 4 of the last matches
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 5.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Athletico
Athletico is the favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 64.7 vs 58.7 for Atlético Mineiro. The biggest edge is in recent form (CheckForm 57.6 vs 55.8). CheckLive signal strength 58/100.
Both teams to score — Yes1.80
Low confidence53%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
57.6
55.8
CheckSkill
55.3
56.4
CheckMental
69
69
CheckLive total64.7 vs 58.7+6.0
More match signals
Athletico or draw59%1.29
Home win — Athletico55%2.01
Under 2.551%1.85
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Athletico vs Atlético Mineiro?
In the CheckLive calculation Athletico is the favourite: 64.7 vs 58.7. Signal strength 58/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Athletico's main edge?
Athletico is strongest in recent form: CheckForm 57.6 vs 55.8 for Atlético Mineiro. The overall rating gap is 6.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 2-1 (Athletico vs Atlético Mineiro, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 3.40 | 3.70 |