Athletico edged Bahia 2-1 at home in the Brasileiro Série A, in a match that stayed tight from first whistle to last. Possession was split right down the middle at 50% apiece, and the hosts won it by being sharper with what they had.
8.2Lucas EsquivelAthletico · Defender1 goal · 1 shot · 2 key passes · 0.13 xGAthletico 2:1 Bahia — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half1 - 1
- 16(K. Vargas)
- 26
- 30(Yellow card)
- 38J. Aguirre(Yellow card)
- 45(Yellow card)
- 45j. rivaldo
- 45J. Aguirre
Second half1 - 0
- 64K. Furquim
- 69j. rivaldo(K. Vargas)
- 74K. Furquim(Yellow card)
- 79B. ZapelliK. Vargas
- 80G. Junior
- 89j. rivaldo(Yellow card)
- 90O. Hellmann(Yellow card)
- 90 + 1Penalty confirmed (Everaldo)
- 90 + 5
- 90 + 6O. Hellmann(Red card)
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
No live prediction was published
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT2–1A
+10.9Clear edge
B
No live prediction was published
Questions & Answers
Who will win, Athletico vs Bahia?
CheckLive's model makes Athletico the favourite. Model signal strength is 60/100; this is not a win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Athletico 2:0 Bahia.
When is Athletico vs Bahia?
Kick-off Sunday 20 September at 23:30 UK time, in the Brasileiro Série A.
Head to Head meetings
Athletico – Bahia
Athletico
Bahia
- 4
Victories
- 2
Draws
- 3
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  4 | 3  |
Scored goals | 11 | 13 |
Average per game | 1.22 | 1.44 |
The biggest victory | 2-0 | 0-3 |
Athletico
Bahia
Best statistical picks
Athletico – Bahia
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 matches
Recent form favours Bahia to win
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
12 hasn't lost in 10 of the last matches
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 5.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Match betting activity
$186.8K
Betting volume2K
bets- Under 3.5 goalsWon · 8.2% of bets$40.5K162 bets
- Athletico to winWon · 25.4% of bets$35.5K502 bets
- Double chance: 1XWon · 4.9% of bets$24.3K96 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Athletico
Athletico scored 8 and conceded 10 across the latest 4 available matches. Bahia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats across the latest 4 available matches. The main regulation-time score scenario is 2-0. Recent-form figures include different competitions, not only league rounds.
Home win — Athletico2.20
High confidence60%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
49.6
45.2
CheckSkill
54.3
56.7
CheckMental
52.5
46.6
CheckLive total52.3 vs 50.7+1.6
More match signals
Athletico or draw63%1.33
Both teams to score — No58%2.10
Over 2.555%1.90
Today's market odds.
All both teams to score predictions →Bets and model
Full matchAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonHome win — Athletico2.20
Betting pick · WonUnder 3.5 goals8% of bets · $40.5K
Exact score · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 0expected score
Betting pick · Won2 : 126% of bets · $1.2K
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main forecast?
The CheckLive calculation favours Athletico. The main regulation-time score scenario is 2-0.
What does the head-to-head sample show?
In the supplied 8 head-to-head meetings, Athletico have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats.
How should the forecast be interpreted?
CheckLive signal strength is 60/100, not a calibrated chance of winning. Recent results cover the available sample; separate card scenarios can differ from the main score forecast.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 |