8.3RaphinhaBarcelona · Midfielder2 goals · 2 shots · 1 key pass · 0.73 xG8.3RaphinhaBarcelona · Midfielder2 goals · 2 shots · 1 key pass · 0.73 xGBarcelona 3:0 Aston Villa — Match Report
First half1 - 0
- 7
- 11(Yellow card)
- 31(Yellow card)
- 45(Yellow card)
- 45(Yellow card)
Second half2 - 0
- 52(F. López)
- 70
- 70P. Martín Páez GaviraF. López
- 82A. Balde
CheckMomentum
Barcelona
Match dominance
Barcelonaeven
Aston Villa
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · LostBoth teams to score — Yes1.40
Public pick · WonBarcelona to win1,227 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Public pick · Lost3 : 164 bets
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchH2H
Head to Head meetings
Barcelona – Aston Villa
Barcelona
Aston Villa
- 1
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  1 | 0  |
Scored goals | 3 | 0 |
Average per game | 3 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 3-0 | 0 |
Form
Barcelona
- 5Matches
- 17Goals
- 3.4Goal per game
- 3Wins
- 0Draws
- 2Losses
Aston Villa
- 5Matches
- 6Goals
- 1.2Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
Standings
Barcelona – Aston Villa
Best statistical picks
Barcelona – Aston Villa
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 5 matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Aston Villa opened the score in 5 of the last 6 matches
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 7.00 | 9.00 |
Questions & Answers
Who bet on what before the match
Public11.29
Money11.29
Pros1 (-1.5)1.75
Timeline
- 71′
Market woke up: U 3.5
OutcomeU 3.53.33 → 2.785people+$2.3Kin 3 min - 65′
Goal — Barcelona3:0
- 53′
Public and money — on Barcelona
Public11.05 → 1.01Money11.05 → 1.01Pros—no bets - 53′
Goal — Barcelona2:0
- 12′
Public, money and pros — on Barcelona
Public11.19 → 1.08Money11.19 → 1.08Pros11.19 → 1.08 - 9′
Money surge on Barcelona
Money11.20 → 1.18+$101.4Kin 3 min - 8′
Goal — Barcelona1:0
- 2′
Public and money — on Barcelona
Public11.30 → 1.35Money11.30 → 1.35Pros—no bets
Pros result
3 of 4 in profit
Match betting activity
$1.7M
Betting volume8.7K
bets- Barcelona to win$654.3K1,766 bets
- Double chance: 1X$228K272 bets
- Barcelona handicap -1.5$99.6K271 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
Bets and money by outcome
Number of betsMoney staked
1X2
70%6%24%
96%2%2%
U 2.5O 2.5
56%44%
9%91%
1X12X2
35%12%53%
70%6%24%
Formation not available yet
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Barcelona
Barcelona is a slight favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 60.6 + 5.8 for home advantage = 66.4 vs 61.7 for Aston Villa. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 81.6 vs 69). CheckLive signal strength 57/100.
Over 3.51.44
Medium confidence61%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
62.4
57.4
CheckSkill
56.7
55
CheckMental
81.6
69
CheckLive total66.4 vs 61.7+4.7Barcelona: 60.6 + 5.8 for home advantage = 66.4
More match signals
Both teams to score — Yes65%1.36
Over 4.555%2.00
Home win — Barcelona53%1.25
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · LostBoth teams to score — Yes1.40
Public pick · WonBarcelona to win1,227 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Public pick · Lost3 : 164 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
In the CheckLive calculation Barcelona is the favourite: 60.6 + 5.8 for home advantage = 66.4 vs 61.7. Signal strength 57/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Barcelona's main edge?
Barcelona is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 81.6 vs 69 for Aston Villa. The overall rating gap is 4.7.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 3-2 (Barcelona vs Aston Villa, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 7.00 | 9.00 |