This is the first leg of the CAF Champions League first qualifying round, and the tie is finely balanced. CheckLive's model favours Aigle Noir SC with a 56% win probability, but the signal is medium and the margin is modest, so a draw or an away result remains very much in play. Al-Hilal Omdurman will see this as a genuine chance to take control of the tie before the return.
Aigle Noir arrive in good rhythm, with four wins in their last five: 2-1 against Young Star FC, 3-1 against Olympic Star, 1-0 against Vita Club and 1-0 against Garage Express, alongside a 1-1 draw with Flambeau du Centre. Al-Hilal Omdurman have won three of their last five, beating Jamus 2-1, KVZ FC 4-0 and Tusker 2-0, with a 1-1 draw against Gor Mahia FC and a 0-1 defeat to Rayon Sports FC.
There is no previous meeting between these two sides, so the head-to-head offers no clues. The key watchpoint is how Al-Hilal approach the away leg and whether Aigle Noir can turn their recent momentum into a first-leg lead without leaving themselves exposed.
