CheckLive's numbers lean towards 9 de Octubre in this Serie B meeting, but only narrowly: the visitors are rated the favourite with a 51% win probability, and the signal is low. With the margin that thin, this is far from a two-way certainty — a draw is a very plausible result.
San Antonio FC come in having won three of their last five: 1-0 over El Nacional, 2-1 over Gualaceo SC and 1-0 against Cuniburo FC, alongside a 0-0 draw with Cumbayá FC and a 1-4 defeat at Atletico Rojiblanco. 9 de Octubre have been harder to beat but less productive: a 2-2 draw with Independiente Juniors, a 0-1 loss to El Nacional, a 0-0 draw with Vargas Torres, a 1-0 win over 22 de Julio and a 0-0 draw with Cumbayá FC.
The head-to-head clearly favours 9 de Octubre: in eight previous meetings San Antonio have one win, two draws and five defeats, and the most recent encounter ended 2-0 to the visitors. The key thing to watch is whether San Antonio can turn around a head-to-head that has been against them, especially with the pre-match edge too slim to call confidently.
