Hamburger SV took the points 2-1 at home to 1. FC Köln, and they did it with barely a third of the ball. Köln ran the game in every passing sense; Hamburg simply made more of the moments that mattered.
7.8Nicolás CapaldoHamburger SV · Defender1 goal · 1 shot · 0.34 xGHamburger SV 2:1 1. FC Köln — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half1 - 0
- 10(Yellow card)
Second half1 - 1
- 54(Yellow card)
- 67Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
- 77Z. El Ouahdi
- 77L. LemkeD. Moller Wolfe
- 77Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson(Yellow card)
- 84(Yellow card)
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
No live prediction was published
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT2–1H
+13.7Strong edge
1
No live prediction was published
Questions & Answers
What was the final score of Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
Hamburger SV 2-1 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga).
Who scored?
Nicolás Capaldo (44', assist Albert Grønbæk) for Hamburger SV; Yussuf Poulsen (49', assist Albert Grønbæk) for Hamburger SV; Ragnar Ache (90', assist Ellyes Skhiri) for 1. FC Köln.
Was Hamburger SV's win deserved?
It was close — an evenly matched game.
Were there any cards in Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
Yellow cards: Albert Grønbæk (Hamburger SV); Gideon Mensah (1. FC Köln); Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (1. FC Köln); Ellyes Skhiri (1. FC Köln).
Head to Head meetings
Hamburger SV – 1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
- 4
Victories
- 1
Draws
- 2
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  4 | 2  |
Scored goals | 8 | 12 |
Average per game | 1.14 | 1.71 |
The biggest victory | 2-1 | 0-4 |
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Best statistical picks
Hamburger SV – 1. FC Köln
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 6 matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Over 4.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
Match betting activity
$301.3K
Betting volume1.9K
bets- Under 2.5 goalsLost · 11.8% of bets$61.2K223 bets
- Hamburger SV to winWon · 10.6% of bets$55.9K199 bets
- Under 3.5 goalsWon · 3.5% of bets$26K66 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — 1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln is a slight favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 42.8 vs 42 for Hamburger SV. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 30.2 vs 28.6). CheckLive signal strength 57/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Hamburger SV, so the edge is thin.
Both teams to score — No2.50
Medium confidence57%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
38
37.6
CheckSkill
51
52.5
CheckMental
28.6
30.2
CheckLive total42 vs 42.8+0.8
More match signals
Hamburger SV (DNB)63%1.91
Hamburger SV or draw59%1.53
Under 2.550%2.30
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Full matchAll markets · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · LostBoth teams to score — No2.50
Betting pick · LostUnder 2.5 goals12% of bets · $61.2K
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 0expected score
Betting pick · Lost0 : 012% of bets · $286
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
On CheckLive metrics 1. FC Köln rate higher: 42.8 vs 42, CheckLive signal strength 57/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Hamburger SV, so the edge is thin.
What is 1. FC Köln's main edge?
1. FC Köln is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 30.2 vs 28.6 for Hamburger SV. The overall rating gap is 0.8.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 1-0 (Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.45 |